Value Play Or Value Trap? Real Goods Solar, Inc. (RGSE), Vistra Energy Corp. (VST)

It is expected that in Dec 2018 quarter RGSE will have an EPS of -$0.07, while that of Mar 2019 is projected at -$0.01. It means that there could be a -100.01% and 97.62% growth in the two quarters respectively. Yearly earnings are expected to rise by -100.12% to about -$1.15. As for the coming year, growth will be about 96.52%, lifting earnings to -$0.04. RSI after the last trading period was 58.89. RGSE recorded a change of -8.49% over the past week and returned 47.87% over the last three months while the RGSE stock’s monthly performance revealed a shift in price of 60.02%. The year to date (YTD) performance stands at -57.74%, and the bi-yearly performance specified an activity trend of -49.56% while the shares have moved -54.34% for the past 12 months.

Real Goods Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGSE)’s EPS was -$0.49 as reported for the September quarter. In comparison, the same quarter a year ago had an EPS of -$600. That means that its growth in general now stands at -100%. Therefore, a prediction of -$0.32 given by the analysts brought a positive surprise of 53%. RGSE Sep 18 quarter revenue was $3.88 million, compared to $35.18 million recorded in same quarter last year, giving it a -89% growth rate. The company’s -$31.3 million revenue decline that quarter surprised Wall Street and investors will need to consider this as they assess the stock.

Real Goods Solar, Inc. (RGSE) currently trades at $0.63, which is higher by 16.01% its previous price. It has a total of 77.43 million outstanding shares, with an ATR of around 0.09. The company’s stock volume dropped to 12.82 million, worse than 6.03 million that represents its 50-day average. A 5-day decrease of about -8.49% in its price means RGSE is now -57.74% lower on year-to-date. The shares have surrendered $43299.37 since its $1.92 52-week high price recorded on 27th of December 2017. Overall, it has seen a growth rate of -54.34 over the last 12 months. The current price per share is $0.33 above the 52 week low of $0.30 set on 19th of July 2018.

Vistra Energy Corp. (NYSE:VST) shares appreciated 2.6% over the last trading period, taking overall 5-day performance up to 3.17%. RGSE’s price now at $24.09 is greater than the 50-day average of $23.75. Getting the trading period increased to 200 days, the stock price was seen at $22.96 on average. The general public currently hold control of a total of 489.94 million shares, which is the number publicly available for trading. The total of shares that it has issued to investors is 498.43 million. The company’s management holds a total of 0.2%, while institutional investors hold about 0% of the remaining shares. RGSE share price finished last trade 2.02% above its 20 day simple moving average and its upbeat gap from 200 day simple moving average is 5.83%, while closing the session with 1.46% distance from 50 day simple moving average.

Vistra Energy Corp. (VST) shares were last observed trading -8.37% down since October 02, 2018 when the peak of $26.29 was hit. Last month’s price growth of -3.52% puts VST performance for the year now at 31.5%. Consequently, the shares price is trending higher by 40.88%, a 52-week worst price since Dec. 13, 2017. However, it is losing value with -2.35% in the last 6 months. From a technical perspective, it appears more likely that the stock will experience a Bull Run market as a result of the strong support seen recently between $22.42 and $23.25. The immediate resistance area is now $24.57 Williams’s%R (14) for VST moved to 5.91 while the stochastic%K points at 71.42.

VST’s beta is 0; meaning investors could reap lower returns, although it also poses lower risks. The company allocated -$0.2 per share from its yearly profit to its outstanding shares. Its last reported revenue is $3.24 billion, which was 77% versus $1.83 billion in the corresponding quarter last year. The EPS for Sep 18 quarter came in at $0.6 compared to $0.64 in the year-ago quarter and had represented -6% year-over-year earnings per share growth. VST’s ROA is -2.2%, lower than the 8.27% industry average. Although a more robust percentage would be better, consideration is given to how well peers within the industry performed. Companies within the sector had an ROA of 5.93%.