The Bears Are Wrong Again: Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)

10 analysts out of 17 Wall Street brokerage firms rate Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK) as a Buy, while 0 see it as a Sell. The rest 7 describe it as a Hold. ALK stock traded higher to an intra-day high of $56.72. At one point in session, its potential discontinued and the price was down to lows at $55.26. Analysts have set ALK’s consensus price at $78.73, effectively giving it a 41.88% projection on returns. Should the projected estimates be met, then the stock will likely hit its highest price at $95 (up 71.2% from current price levels). ALK has a 12% ROE, lower than the 21.77% average for the industry. The average ROE for the sector is 11.71%.

It is expected that in Mar 2019 quarter ALK will have an EPS of $0.06, suggesting a -57.14% growth. For Jun 2019 is projected at $2.29. It means that there could be a 37.95% growth in the quarter. Yearly earnings are expected to rise by 41.03% to about $6.29. As for the coming year, growth will be about 13.67%, lifting earnings to $7.15. RSI after the last trading period was 28.2. ALK recorded a change of -0.82% over the past week and returned -11.12% over the last three months while the ALK stock’s monthly performance revealed a shift in price of -16.79%. The year to date (YTD) performance stands at -8.81%, and the bi-yearly performance specified an activity trend of -19.54% while the shares have moved -19.33% for the past 12 months.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) currently trades at $55.49, which is lower by -0.96% its previous price. It has a total of 123.85 million outstanding shares, with an ATR of around 1.44. The company’s stock volume rose to 2.2 million, better than 1.74 million that represents its 50-day average. A 5-day decrease of about -0.82% in its price means ALK is now -8.81% lower on year-to-date. The shares have surrendered $43480.51 since its $74.83 52-week high price recorded on 29th of November 2018. Overall, it has seen a growth rate of -19.33 over the last 12 months. The current price per share is $1.79 above the 52 week low of $53.70 set on 12th of March 2019.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK)’s EPS was $0.75 as reported for the December quarter. In comparison, the same quarter a year ago had an EPS of $0.83. That means that its growth in general now stands at -10%. Therefore, a prediction of $0.71 given by the analysts brought a positive surprise of 6%. ALK Dec 19 quarter revenue was $2.06 billion, compared to $1.96 billion recorded in same quarter last year, giving it a 5% growth rate. The company’s $0.1 billion revenue growth that quarter surprised Wall Street and investors will need to consider this as they assess the stock.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) shares depreciated -1.5% over the last trading period, taking overall 5-day performance up to -1.72%. HGV’s price now at $31.47 is greater than the 50-day average of $30.53. Getting the trading period increased to 200 days, the stock price was seen at $31.86 on average. The general public currently hold control of a total of 94.07 million shares, which is the number publicly available for trading. The total of shares that it has issued to investors is 97 million. The company’s management holds a total of 0.6%, while institutional investors hold about 0% of the remaining shares. HGV share price finished last trade -2.14% below its 20 day simple moving average and its downbeat gap from 200 day simple moving average is -1.36%, while closing the session with 3.41% distance from 50 day simple moving average.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) shares were last observed trading -34.09% down since March 15, 2018 when the peak of $47.75 was hit. Last month’s price growth of 2.98% puts HGV performance for the year now at 19.25%. Consequently, the shares price is trending higher by 30.23%, a 52-week worst price since Dec. 26, 2018. However, it is regaining value with 0.29% in the last 6 months. From a technical perspective, it appears more likely that the stock will experience a Bull Run market as a result of the strong support seen recently between $31.05 and $31.26. The immediate resistance area is now $31.85 Williams’s %R (14) for HGV moved to 94.38 while the stochastic %K points at 12.11.

HGV’s beta is 0; meaning investors could reap lower returns, although it also poses lower risks. The company allocated $3.01 per share from its yearly profit to its outstanding shares. Its last reported revenue is $642 million, which was 44% versus $447 million in the corresponding quarter last year. The EPS for Dec 19 quarter came in at $1.24 compared to $0.51 in the year-ago quarter and had represented 143% year-over-year earnings per share growth. HGV’s ROA is 11.3%, higher than the 2.12% industry average. Although a more robust percentage would be better, consideration is given to how well peers within the industry performed. Companies within the sector had an ROA of 6.9%.

Estimated quarterly earnings for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) are around $0.63 per share in three months through March with $0.74 also the estimate for June quarter of the fiscal year. It means the growth is estimated at 110% and -32.73%, respectively. Analysts estimate full-year growth to be -8.2%, the target being $2.8 a share. The upcoming year will see an increase in growth by percentage to 12.14%, more likely to see it hit the $3.14 per share. The firm’s current profit margin over the past 12 months is 14.9%. HGV ranks higher in comparison to an average of 8.57% for industry peers; while the average for the sector is 12.89%.